ANALYSIS — What if we got it all wrong? That’s the question that usually goes through my mind at this point in every election cycle. Because 25 years of experience in analyzing elections has made me more humble, rather than more cocky.
Political handicapping has a way of knocking people down a couple of notches. Do it long enough, and you’ll have a “miss” or two or three, whether it’s an individual race or an overall projection.
I convinced myself that Democratic Rep. William J. Jefferson of Louisiana would lose reelection in 2006 after the FBI found cash in his
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