The Texas Senate race is tight — essentially tied — and now all about…turnout.
Republican Ken Paxton benefits from the state’s overall Republican leanings, while Democrat James Talarico is boosted by voters’ economic concerns and higher perceptions of personal character to serve as senator.
Talarico’s standing is helped by more Democrats saying they’ll definitely vote. That leaves the dynamic in the closing weeks very much up for grabs. If more Republicans decide to vote, it could certainly change.
The bulk of Paxton’s voters are backing him either because he’s the GOP nominee or to oppose Talarico, and because they want to support President
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