Wisconsin, Michigan primaries expose limits of polls and prediction markets

image Polls and prediction markets whiffed wildly in Wisconsin on Tuesday, when a roughly 20-percentage-point underdog won a Democratic gubernatorial primary. It’s the second time in just over a week that polls and prediction markets’ odds were off, following a miss in the Democratic U.S. Senate primary in Michigan. Results in Wisconsin and Minnesota Tuesday night reveal a mixed bag for Democrats amid a progressive surge throughout the country. Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate, Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, speaks during a primary election night party at First Avenue on August
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